Figures and visuals: A story of the wildfire season

A summary and collection of visual aids that help us better understand the true extent of the 2023 wildfire season in the Northern Hemisphere.

The Northern Hemisphere is slowly approaching the end of the wildfire season for 2023, which normally starts in May and extends into October. This year was typical in this regard, with extreme wildfire activity experienced at various locations in the summer months. Wildfires are a natural part of many ecosystems. However, an increase in their frequency and intensity may lead to habitat destruction, damage to property and loss of life, as well as degradation of air quality. Over the last four decades, changes in the climate of European summers have led to a higher potential for wildfires. At the same time, the observed frequency and intensity of wildfires and the related emissions show a relatively high degree of inter-annual variability. In this context, the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) data on fire emissions and smoke transport associated with wildfires provides valuable insights to evaluate the most relevant wildfire episodes of the last few months in a comprehensive manner.

Europe

The wildfires in northern Greece this summer were the largest wildfires ever recorded in the European Union. According to data from the European Forest Fire Information Service (EFFIS), Greece’s wildfires have resulted in a cumulative burned area since the start of the year of over 173,000 hectares. Following a heatwave on the Iberian Peninsula, southwestern Portugal experienced some large wildfires in the first half of August. Reflecting the extreme wildfire activity, fire radiative power [or FRP: the rate of emitted radiative energy by the fire at the time of the observation] data for 4-9 August show values that are significantly higher than the 20-year average. Elsewhere, a large wildfire developed on the Spanish island of Tenerife on 16 August and spread quickly. Data from CAMS Global Fire Assimilation System show high daily total FRP for the Canary Islands for 16-22 August and wildfire carbon emissions for the Canary Islands in August were the highest since 2003.

CAMS GFASv1.2 wildfire carbon emissions for Greece in July and August (left) and cumulative total wildfire carbon emissions for Greece (right). Credit: CAMS

Canada

Several devastating wildfires have been affecting most of the provinces and territories of Canada. First detected in May, these wildfires have been ongoing in several locations, causing great human and material loss, in addition to severely affecting air quality not only in Canada but across other regions of North America. Some of the plumes of smoke produced by these wildfires also reached Europe. The extent, persistence, and intensity of the wildfires have led to the total estimated emissions of carbon emissions for 2023 to be almost 410 megatonnes, the highest for Canada by a wide margin in the CAMS dataset. The previous record for annual carbon emissions was 2014, with 138 megatonnes of carbon. As of September the 13th, emissions from wildfires in Canada account for 27% of total global wildfire carbon emissions for 2023.

CAMS GFASv1.2 cumulative daily total fire carbon emissions for Canada in 2023 (left) and annual total wildfire carbon emissions (right). Credit: CAMS

Siberia

Other significant wildfire episodes during this last season include those that took place in Russia, more particularly in Omsk oblast’, Novosibirsk oblast’, and the Far Eastern Federal District. Despite Russia experiencing wildfire emissions this year below the 20-year average, the June-August wildfire carbon emissions for the Arctic were the third-highest on record, second only to 2019 and 2020, mainly due to high latitude fires in Canada’s North Western Territories.

CAMS GFASv1.2 cumulative daily total wildfire carbon emissions for Russia (left), and annual total wildfire carbon emissions (right). Credit: CAMS

Back to 2022

In 2022, fire danger for Europe as a whole was higher than the average for the 1991–2020 reference period through most of the year.  The frequent occurrence of high temperatures, often extreme, and persistent drought conditions in areas of central Europe and the Mediterranean region, led to extreme fire danger conditions which facilitated the ignition and spread of large fires. Under these conditions, critical fires occurred in France, Spain, Portugal, Slovenia and Czechia, resulting in the second largest burnt area on record in the European Union, just below that of 2017. In total, it is estimated that over 900,000 ha were burnt in the EU countries.

Distribution and extent of burnt areas across Europe and the Mediterranean in 2022. Credit: EFFIS/Copernicus EMS

The extent of the burnt area demonstrated high fire activity early in the year, followed by a very large peak in spring, in which over 90,000 ha burnt in the EU in just one week in mid-March. However, the core of the wildfire season was seen as larger peaks in the summer months (June–August), coinciding with the large fires in central and southwestern Europe, and the Mediterranean region. From January to the end of the year, the trend in the cumulative extent of burnt area in the EU countries was above the average for the 2006–2021 reference period.

Fire Weather Index weekly average anomalies for European regions in 2022 (positive values in red and negative in blue) relative to the average for the 1991–2020 reference period (dotted black line; minimum and maximum – light grey shading; 10th to 90th percentile – dark grey shading). Note the different vertical scale for northern and southern European regions. Credit: Copernicus EMS/ECMWF

Picture Credits CC from CharlVera on Pixabay.

Share

Article

Does climate communication trigger actions and societal changes?

By Carolina Aragon and Ezra Markowitz

Sculptures made of data, fluctuating structures on the water, and an exploration of the
effects that climate art can have on people’s engagement. This is an example of how the scientific approach and the artistic process can bring us to a better understanding of how the climate is perceived by public opinion. An artist and a social scientist explain the way the art installation FutureSHORELINE integrates different perspectives and provides shared knowledge.

Podcast

Imagine our future planet – Ep.01

Where does science meet imagination? Our complex, interconnected, fast-changing world makes anticipating the future increasingly difficult. Alex Steffen, futurist, and Carolina Aragón, artist, guide us through their different, and sometimes complementary, perspectives on our future planet.

Landscape with mountains. Ramallah, Palestine
Article

Land and climate change: a close connection

Land is a critical resource. It is under pressure from human activities and climate change, but it is also part of the solution. According to the IPCC, keeping global warming below 2°C can be possible only by reducing greenhouse gas emissions from all sectors, including land and food. The way we use land impacts climate change and, in turn, climate change deeply affects our land.